Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 13.156951 15.070908 17.113360 19.449253 22.040732 24.821529 28.024909
2025-10-12 10.589226 13.192178 16.157402 19.762600 24.003336 28.808599 34.639358
2025-10-19 8.921070 11.860112 15.379329 19.857697 25.354961 31.830697 39.979268
2025-10-26 7.450750 10.498406 14.312162 19.361214 25.788328 33.609978 43.752149
2025-11-02 6.364749 9.456438 13.482258 19.002437 26.255792 35.333925 47.409833
2025-11-09 5.476929 8.555897 12.717316 18.611189 26.582336 36.813307 50.735164
2025-11-16 4.760636 7.801459 12.058575 18.272615 26.902837 38.236364 53.977022
2025-11-23 4.094737 7.038979 11.307087 17.723441 26.865822 39.137372 56.513678
2025-11-30 3.707104 6.648025 11.043604 17.822270 27.694988 41.194846 60.623937
2025-12-07 3.360207 6.280213 10.775663 17.879747 28.443735 43.142798 64.621460
2025-12-14 3.085289 5.997273 10.607170 18.059816 29.356821 45.328735 68.991956
2025-12-21 2.807900 5.679121 10.353469 18.082984 30.022938 47.168993 72.914550
2025-12-28 2.639980 5.536772 10.373943 18.536608 31.359314 50.028428 78.393107
2026-01-04 2.456800 5.347526 10.300614 18.831235 32.458615 52.572161 83.488565
2026-01-11 2.256175 5.103475 10.113184 18.922512 33.235543 54.652626 87.956671
2026-01-18 1.984411 4.692420 9.603660 18.445347 33.086576 55.331837 90.370975
2026-01-25 1.763498 4.354302 9.192510 18.100587 33.119533 56.268517 93.171519
2026-02-01 1.562629 4.031973 8.781531 17.724676 33.073580 57.067148 95.768000
2026-02-08 1.390129 3.747461 8.415469 17.399421 33.086145 57.942302 98.486565
2026-02-15 1.212700 3.428273 7.954975 16.871944 32.726891 58.208544 100.261339
2026-02-22 1.121664 3.293527 7.842099 16.966859 33.421744 60.158967 104.681742
2026-03-01 1.034540 3.156813 7.713510 17.022063 34.044434 62.003809 108.973384
2026-03-08 0.966054 3.056584 7.650723 17.195015 34.874295 64.201055 113.865029